Graphic comparing party approval ratings of Presidents Bush, Obama, and Trump during their second terms, highlighting Trump's 86% approval.

Graphic comparing party approval ratings of Presidents Bush, Obama, and Trump during their second terms, highlighting Trump's 86% approval.
Image: Video screenshot via @ForecasterEnten/X

CNN’s Senior Data Reporter, Harry Enten, shared recently polling showing that President Trump’s political endorsements are ‘gold’ because he is more loved by his own party than any other president at this point.

Harry Enten: You know, Trump’s yesterday, on Truth Social, essentially said, ‘When I endorse, it’s a very big deal because the people that I endorse, the endorseees, almost always win.’

And as it turns out, the President is correct on this. He is a GOAT when it comes to Republican primaries. He’s a Tom Brady. He is a Babe Ruth.

Because take a look here. Times Trump endorsees won GOP primaries-Congressional and Gubernatorial Races, 98% in 2020, 95% in 2022, and then 96% in 2024.

Now, I will note that oftentimes he endorses incumbents, and those folks don’t necessarily have very hard challenges. But even when he endorses challengers against incumbents, the challengers win a majority of the time.

His endorsement, President Trump’s endorsement, is as good as gold in Republican primaries.

John Berman: You compare it to Tom Brady. He actually does better than Tom. Tom Brady lost a few Super Bowls stunningly. Donald Trump almost never loses when he endorses in a primary because… Why?

Harry Enten: Why? Because Republicans love Donald Trump more than any President’s own party supporters loved him at this particular point.

Just take a look here. Okay, own party supporters. 21st century President’s own party approval about at this point in the second term. Bush was at 77%. Obama was at 77%.

Look at this- 86 % of Republicans approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing at this point. That is higher than either Obama or Bush had within their own party at this point. Trump’s magic touch has not seen a war-off yet when it comes to the Republican base.

John Berman: And what approval are we talking about here?

Harry Enten: Okay, so we’re talking about overall approval here. How about the strongly approved? The strongly approved, not just like, but love.

Okay, we’re going to look at these same presidents again. Strong approval among your own party’s base. What you see here is Trump is the only one who gets a majority at this point in their presidency.

Obama was at 48%, Bush was at 47%, you see here Trump at 53%, not as high as his overall approval rating, but still getting a majority of the Republican base, at least in the average of polls, to say that they still really, really, really like him.

John Berman: Okay, so the President says he will endorse. He hasn’t said who he will endorse yet, but I bet you the prediction markets have a sense.

Harry Enten: Yeah, there have been rumblings. The prediction markets are hearing rumblings, and they think that it is going to be this man, John Cornyn, who’s the incumbent, who, of course, got more votes in the initial round just on Tuesday.

On Tuesday, the chance, according to the Kalshi Prediction Market, that he would be the GOP nominee for Senate in Texas was 24%. Now, on the belief that Trump will endorse, look at that, up like a rock at 85%, and that is because the markets believe what we saw on slide number one, which is Trump’s endorsement, is very, very important.

He’s a G-O-A-T.

John Berman: That increase really only because of the endorsement.

Harry Enten: You got that right.

Watch:

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